Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.003135 0.003285 0.003438 0.003607 0.003786 0.003973 0.004181
2025-04-13 0.002786 0.003002 0.003230 0.003491 0.003781 0.004095 0.004462
2025-04-20 0.002628 0.002886 0.003166 0.003495 0.003872 0.004294 0.004803
2025-04-27 0.002538 0.002831 0.003156 0.003546 0.004006 0.004533 0.005190
2025-05-04 0.002415 0.002727 0.003080 0.003511 0.004029 0.004638 0.005415
2025-05-11 0.002318 0.002645 0.003021 0.003490 0.004063 0.004749 0.005646
2025-05-18 0.002230 0.002570 0.002966 0.003465 0.004087 0.004846 0.005859
2025-05-25 0.002193 0.002552 0.002976 0.003519 0.004207 0.005063 0.006231
2025-06-01 0.002128 0.002496 0.002936 0.003508 0.004242 0.005172 0.006465
2025-06-08 0.002060 0.002434 0.002886 0.003480 0.004253 0.005247 0.006656
2025-06-15 0.001985 0.002361 0.002818 0.003425 0.004226 0.005269 0.006772
2025-06-22 0.001919 0.002297 0.002759 0.003380 0.004208 0.005301 0.006899
2025-06-29 0.001877 0.002261 0.002736 0.003381 0.004252 0.005418 0.007155
2025-07-06 0.001790 0.002166 0.002634 0.003274 0.004147 0.005327 0.007108
2025-07-13 0.001755 0.002137 0.002616 0.003278 0.004191 0.005444 0.007367
2025-07-20 0.001741 0.002133 0.002631 0.003325 0.004296 0.005650 0.007768
2025-07-27 0.001695 0.002087 0.002588 0.003293 0.004289 0.005693 0.007922
2025-08-03 0.001657 0.002050 0.002556 0.003274 0.004297 0.005758 0.008113
2025-08-10 0.001619 0.002012 0.002522 0.003251 0.004300 0.005815 0.008293
2025-08-17 0.001610 0.002013 0.002540 0.003300 0.004408 0.006032 0.008738
2025-08-24 0.001580 0.001984 0.002516 0.003290 0.004428 0.006115 0.008970
2025-08-31 0.001546 0.001949 0.002483 0.003265 0.004424 0.006162 0.009141
2025-09-07 0.001505 0.001904 0.002434 0.003215 0.004382 0.006146 0.009206